Preface | p. iii |
Figures | p. ix |
Tables | p. xi |
Summary | p. xiii |
Acknowledgments | p. xxiii |
Abbreviations | p. xxv |
Chapter 1 Introduction | p. 1 |
Contemplating the Future | p. 2 |
Organization | p. 5 |
Chapter 2 Current U.S. Overseas Presence | p. 7 |
The Current Overseas Presence: Resources and Assets | p. 8 |
Overseas Presence as Part of U.S. Defense Strategy | p. 10 |
Reasons for Overseas Presence | p. 12 |
Composition of Overseas Presence | p. 12 |
Evaluating the Current Overseas Presence: | p. 15 |
Strategic Considerations | p. 15 |
Theater-by-Theater Appraisal | p. 18 |
Military Considerations | p. 22 |
Major Theater War Defense in the Persian Gulf and Korea | p. 26 |
Summary | p. 34 |
Chapter 3 The Impact of Future International Conditions on the U.S. Overseas Presence | p. 37 |
Toward a Future of Dynamic Change and Uncertainty | p. 37 |
The Contributions of Complexity Theory to Understanding International Change | p. 39 |
Preventing Descents to Permit Progress | p. 46 |
Summary | p. 56 |
Chapter 4 New Purposes and Geography for U.S. Overseas Presence | p. 59 |
Toward a New Strategic Planning Framework | p. 61 |
New Strategic Objectives | p. 66 |
New Strategy Precepts | p. 68 |
New Military Missions | p. 72 |
Toward a New Design Concept | p. 75 |
Future Strategic Directions in Each Region | p. 78 |
Europe | p. 78 |
Persian Gulf | p. 81 |
Asia | p. 82 |
The Role of Allies and Coalition Partners in Power Projection | p. 84 |
Summary | p. 93 |
Chapter 5 Toward Different and Better Forces | p. 95 |
The Importance of "Being There" with Combat Forces | p. 96 |
Future Force-Sizing Principles | p. 101 |
Possible Portfolio Posture and a Changing Mix | p. 109 |
Toward Higher-Quality, Reengineered Forces | p. 119 |
Impact of RMA | p. 120 |
Implications for Overseas Presence | p. 123 |
Military Infrastructure for Outlying Areas | p. 126 |
Importance of New Reception Facilities and Bases | p. 127 |
An Innovative Idea: New USAF Deployment Bases | p. 132 |
Summary | p. 136 |
Chapter 6 Options for future U.S. Overseas Presence | p. 139 |
A Spectrum of Options | p. 139 |
Option 1 Continuity Posture | p. 142 |
Option 2 Evolutionary Posture | p. 146 |
Option 3 Reengineered Posture | p. 149 |
Option 4 Rotational Posture | p. 154 |
Option 5 Gulf-Heavy Posture | p. 158 |
Option 6 Asia-Heavy Posture | p. 159 |
Option 7 Global Threat Posture | p. 161 |
Option 8 Stable World Posture | p. 163 |
Implications for the Department of Defense | p. 164 |
Implications for the Air Force | p. 167 |
Summary | p. 168 |
Chapter 7 Conclusions | p. 171 |
References | p. 173 |